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    Written by DafaNews

    Nottingham Forest vs. Luton Town: EPL Game Preview

    October 18, 2023

    Nottingham Forest and Luton Town clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Crystal Palace on October 7 while Luton Town lost 1-0 at home against Tottenham Hotspur on October 7.

    Nottingham Forest is in 13th place in the Premier League standings with nine points in eight games while Luton Town is in 17th place with four points in eight games.

    The player to watch in this game is Taiwo Awoniyi, who has three goals and two assists in seven Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Taiwo Awoniyi a 55.8 percent chance to score against Luton Town. He has 16 SCA and 4 GCA in seven Premier League games this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Nottingham Forest 1.65
    • Luton Town 5.40
    • Draw 3.85

    Spread
    • Nottingham Forest -0.5, -1 (1.78)
    • Luton Town +0.5, +1 (1.95)

    Total
    • Over 2.5 (1.98)
    • Under 2.5 (1.78)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in English League Championship action on April 15, 2022 and Luton Town won 1-0.

    Projected Leaders

    For Nottingham Forest, Taiwo Awoniyi has a 55.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.59 shots overall per sim, 1.22 shots on goal per and 0.82 goals per sim.

    For Luton Town, Carlton Morris has a 39.26 percent chance to score. He averages 1.82 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Nottingham Forest 1.65

    Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Nottingham Forest in this one. Average score in simulations is Nottingham Forest 1.86 to Luton Town 1.14.

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