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    Written by DafaNews

    Manchester City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion: EPL Game Preview

    October 18, 2023

    Manchester City clashes with Brighton & Hove Albion in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Arsenal on October 8 while Brighton & Hove Albion had a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool on October 8.

    Manchester City is in third place in the Premier League standings with 18 points in eight games while Brighton & Hove Albion is in sixth place with 16 points in eight games.

    The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has eight goals and one assist in eight Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 78.78 percent chance to score against Brighton & Hove Albion. He has 16 SCA and 2 GCA in eight Premier League games this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Manchester City 1.46
    • Brighton & Hove Albion 5.80
    • Draw: 5.20

    Spread
    • Manchester City -1, -1.5 (1.85)
    • Brighton & Hove Albion +1, +1.5 (1.87)

    Total
    • Over 3.5 (1.83)
    • Under 3.5 (1.90)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 24 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Projected Leaders

    For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 78.78 percent chance to score. He averages 4.01 shots overall per sim, 2.24 shots on goal per and 1.58 goals per sim.

    For Brighton & Hove Albion, Solomon March has a 27.44 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.07 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick
    Manchester City 1.46

    Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 3.1 to Brighton & Hove Albion 1.14.

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