Fiorentina will face a tough test when they host AC Milan on November 20. AC Milan is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Inter Milan on November 7 while Fiorentina lost 1-0 on the road against Juventus on November 6.
AC Milan is tied with Napoli for first place in the Serie A standings with 32 points in 12 games while Fiorentina is in seventh place with 18 points in 12 games. The players to watch in this game are Rafael Leão and Olivier Giroud, who lead AC Milan with four goals each. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this contest.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Fiorentina: 3.05
• AC Milan: 2.32
• Draw: 3.45
Spread
• Fiorentina: 0, +0.5: 1.91
• AC Milan: 0, -0.5: 2.02
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.89
• Under 2.5: 2.01
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Fiorentina, coming off a 1-0 road loss against Juventus on November 6, have 3 losses and 2 wins in their last 5 Serie A games. AC Milan, coming off a 1-1 home draw against Inter Milan on November 7, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Serie A games
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with 7 wins in their last eight Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on March 21 and AC Milan won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For Fiorentina, Dušan Vlahović has a 52.34 percent chance to score. He averages 2.04 shots overall per sim, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.73 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a 45.3 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.6 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal per and 0.6 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Inter Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 1.67 to Fiorentina 1.5.
