Sunday’s Premier League slate features one of the best matchups of the season at Hotspur Stadium as Tottenham hosts Chelsea.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Tottenham: 2.43
•Draw: 3.73
•Chelsea: 2.85
Spread:
•Tottenham -0.5: 2.38
•Chelsea +0.5: 1.60
Total
•Over 3: 1.96
•Under 3: 1.94
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Tottenham, coming off a 2-1 road win over Wolverhampton, have 4 wins and 2 losses in their last six overall. Chelsea, coming off a 0-1 home loss vs Bournemouth have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last six overall.
Some Numbers: Tottenham are No. 4 in the league in goals scored, but just No. 11 in shots overall. Talk about efficiency.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Feb. 27, 2019 when Chelsea won, 2-0.
Projected Leaders
Tammy Abraham has a 44 percent chance to score for Chelsea. He averages 2.97 shots overall per sim, 1.42 shots on goal per and 0.58 goals per sim.
For Tottenham, Harry Kane has a 46 percent chance to score. He averages 2.59 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal per and 0.62 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Tottenham to win.
Average margin of victory in sims is Tottenham +0.45 goals.
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