Empoli hosts AC Milan in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Sunday. Empoli is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Cagliari on Saturday while AC Milan beat Sassuolo 1-0 at home on Saturday.

Empoli is in 19th place in the Serie A standings with 13 points in 18 games while AC Milan is in third place with 36 points in 18 games.

The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has eight goals and five assists in 15 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Olivier Giroud a 55.28 percent chance to score against Empoli. He has 28 SCA and 6 GCA in 15 Serie A games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Empoli 5.00
• AC Milan 1.67
• Draw 4.00

Spread
• Empoli +0.5, +1 (1.98)
• AC Milan -0.5, -1 (1.83)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.92)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.83)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on April 7 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Empoli, Nicolò Cambiaghi has a 13.84 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.05 shots overall per sim, 0.49 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 55.28 percent chance to score. He averages 2.29 shots overall per sim, 1.27 shots on goal per and 0.79 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

AC Milan 1.67

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.36 to Empoli 0.66.