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    Written by DafaNews

    Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City: EPL Game Preview

    March 12, 2023

    Crystal Palace hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Crystal Palace is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Aston Villa on Saturday while Manchester City beat Newcastle United 2-0 at home on Saturday.

    Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 58 points in 26 games while Crystal Palace is in 12th place with 27 points in 25 games.

    The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 27 goals and five assists in 25 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 62.44 percent chance to score against Crystal Palace. He has 49 SCA and 11 GCA in 25 Premier League games this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Crystal Palace 8.80
    • Manchester City 1.34
    • Draw: 5.20

    Spread
    • Crystal Palace +1.5 (1.90)
    • Manchester City -1.5 (2.00)

    Total
    • Over 2.5, 3 (1.92)
    • Under 2.5, 3 (1.96)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 27 and Manchester City won 4-2.

    Projected Leaders

    For Crystal Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta has a 9.12 percent chance to score. He averages 0.65 shots overall per sim, 0.28 shots on goal per and 0.1 goals per sim.

    For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 62.44 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.64 shots overall per sim, 1.55 shots on goal per and 0.96 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick
    Over 2.5, 3 (1.92)

    Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.07 to Crystal Palace 0.46.

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