The Serie A continues this week! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an exciting contest on Sunday when Crotone hosts AC Milan. Crotone is coming off a 4-1 road loss against Genoa while AC Milan beat Bologna 2-0 at home. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Crotone: 7.00
• AC Milan: 1.46
• Draw: 4.90
Spread
• Crotone: +1, +1.5 (1.92)
• AC Milan: -1, -1.5 (2.01)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.85)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.05)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Crotone, coming off a 4-1 road loss vs Genoa, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall. AC Milan, coming off a 2-0 home win vs Bologna, have 6 wins, 0 losses and 0 draws in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with six straight wins in their last 6 overall.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on Jan. 6, 2018 and AC Milan won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Crotone, Simeon Tochukwu Nwankwo has a 42.44 percent chance to score. He averages 2.87 shots overall per sim, 0.98 shots on goal per and 0.55 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a 65.66 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 4.74 shots overall per sim, 1.8 shots on goal per and 1.04 goal per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan Moneyline.
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.55 to Crotone 1.12.
