Croatia clashes with Canada in a crucial game in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group F action on Sunday.

Canada played well and deserved more but Belgium found a way to prevail and won 1-0 on Wednesday. Croatia is coming off a hard-fought 0-0 draw against Morocco, which left the race for second place wide open.

The player to watch in this game is Jonathan David, who has nine goals and three assists in 15 Ligue 1 games with Lille this season. AccuScore gives Jonathan David a 43.5 percent chance to score against Croatia. He has 44 SCA and 7 GCA in 15 Ligue 1 games with Lille.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

DafaNews Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Croatia 2.13
• Canada 3.70
• Draw 3.45

Spread
• Croatia -0.5 (2.00)
• Canada +0.5 (1.92)

Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (2.11)
• Under 2, 2.5 (1.82)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: This will be the first-ever meeting between these two teams.

Projected Leaders

For Croatia, Andrej Kramarić has a 34.6 percent chance to score. He averages 2.46 shots overall per sim, 1.23 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.

For Canada, Jonathan David has a 43.5 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.92 shots overall per sim, 0.83 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The projections favor Croatia by a very slim margin and while I agree that they’re the better team, Canada impressed against Belgium and this could easily be a very close game or even a draw.

Draw 3.45

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Croatia in this one. Average score in simulations is Croatia 1.63 to Canada 1.35.