Atalanta hosts AC Milan in what promises to be one of the most exciting Serie A games this weekend. Atalanta is coming off a 4-3 road win against Genoa on Saturday while AC Milan played to a 0-0 home draw against Cagliari last Sunday. Atlanta is in second place in the Serie A standings with 78 points in 37 games while AC Milan is in fourth place with 76 points in 37 games. The game will be played behind closed doors on Sunday because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atalanta: 2.55
• AC Milan: 2.47
• Draw: 3.95

Spread
• Atalanta: 0 (2.00)
• AC Milan: 0 (1.93)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.96)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.94)

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Atalanta, coming off a 4-3 road win against Genoa on Saturday, have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 Serie A games. AC Milan, coming off a 0-0 home draw against Cagliari last Sunday, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 Serie A games.

Momentum: Atalanta has been on an upward trend — winning 4 of their last 5 Serie A games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on January 23, 2021 and Atalanta won 3-1.

Projected Leaders

For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 36.04 percent chance to score. He averages 2.14 shots overall per sim, 1.12 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.

For AC Milan, Ante Rebic has a 22.82 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.76 shots overall per sim, 0.37 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Under.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atalanta in this one. Average score in simulations is Atalanta 1.43 to AC Milan 1.08.

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