Aston Villa hosts Leicester City in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 road win against Southampton on January 21, while Leicester City had a 2-2 home draw against Brighton & Hove Albion on January 21.
Aston Villa is in 11th place in the Premier League standings with 28 points in 20 games while Leicester City is in 14th place with 18 points in 20 games.
The player to watch in this game is Ollie Watkins, who has four goals and four assists in 19 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Ollie Watkins a 34.08 percent chance to score against Leicester City. He has 39 SCA and 9 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 2.01
• Leicester City 3.70
• Draw: 3.55
Spread
• Aston Villa -0.5 (1.99)
• Leicester City +0.5 (1.83)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.91)
• Under 2.5 (1.90)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 23 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 34.08 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.04 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.
For Leicester City, Harvey Lewis has a 20.44 percent chance to score. He averages 1.09 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Aston Villa 2.01
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 1.5 to Leicester City 0.66.
