We’ve got a fun on this Saturday afternoon at Villa Park as Aston Villa host Brighton & Hove Albion. Both sides won convincingly their last time out in league action.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Aston Villa: 2.41
•Draw: 3.50
•Brighton & Hove: 3.03

Spread

•Aston Villa -0.5: 2.40
•Brighton & Hove +0.5: 1.64

Total
•Over 2.5: 1.87
•Under 2.5: 2.03

What to Watch For

Last 6: Villa, coming off a 5-1 road win over Norwich City, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six overall. Brighton, coming off a 3-0 home win vs Tottenham, have 1 win, 3 losses and 2 draws in their last six overall.

Yellow Cards: Brighton & Hove — defensively — are one of the best in terms of not committing penalties and getting yellow cards. They have just 9 (No. 18 in league) all season.

Head-to-Head: These two sides most recently matched up in League Cup action on Sep. 25, 2019 when Villa won, 3-1.

Projected Leaders

For Bright & Hove, Neal Maupay has a 48 percent chance to score. He averages 3 shots overall per sim, 1.22 shots on goal per and 0.66 goals per sim.

For Villa, Wesley Moraes has a 37 percent chance to score. Moraes averages 1.16 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.46 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Brighton & Hove +0.5

All the side value in this matchup is on Brighton & Hove according to simulations. Them being more competitive than odds-makers are indicating is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

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