Arsenal hopes to get back on the win column this weekend following three straight EPL draws as they match up against Burnley at Turf Moor.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Burnley FC: 3.80
•Draw: 3.58
•Arsenal: 2.05

Spread

•Burnley +0.5: 1.88
•Arsenal -0.5: 2.05

Total

•Over 2.5: 1.95
•Under 2.5: 1.95

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Burnley, coming off a 2-1 home loss vs Norwich, have 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 overall. Arsenal, coming off a 2-1 road win vs Bournemouth, have 3 wins and 3 draws in their last six overall.

Momentum: Burnley, despite losing their last time out in the FA Cup, are playing with some momentum in the Premier League. They have back-to-back wins, including one over Manchester United at Old Trafford.

Head-to-Head:These two sides last matched up on Aug. 17, 2019 when Arsenal won, 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Alexander Lacazette has a 32-to-33 percent chance to score. He averages 2.35 shots overall per sim, 0.93 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.

For Burnley, Chris Wood has a 39 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.33 shots overall, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.50 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The OVER.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average total score in simulations is 2.85 goals.