AFC Bournemouth hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. AFC Bournemouth is coming off a 1-0 road win against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday while Manchester City had a 1-1 road draw against Nottingham Forest on Saturday.
Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 52 points in 24 games while Leicester City is in 13th place with 25 points in 23 games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 26 goals and four assists in 23 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 59.82 percent chance to score against AFC Bournemouth. He has 42 SCA and 9 GCA in 23 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth 10.00
• Manchester City 1.26
• Draw: 6.20
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth +1.5, +2 (1.89)
• Manchester City -1.5, -2 (1.92)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.94)
• Under 2.5 (1.87)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 13 and Manchester City won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For AFC Bournemouth, Dominic Solanke has a 16.66 percent chance to score. He averages 0.99 shots overall per sim, 0.56 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 59.82 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.79 shots overall per sim, 1.63 shots on goal per and 0.9 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 2.5 (1.94)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 1.95 to AFC Bournemouth 0.76.
